Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.003827 0.004026 0.004229 0.004453 0.004694 0.004945 0.005227
2025-03-23 0.003431 0.003719 0.004028 0.004384 0.004784 0.005222 0.005739
2025-03-30 0.003175 0.003512 0.003883 0.004324 0.004836 0.005416 0.006127
2025-04-06 0.003015 0.003390 0.003812 0.004326 0.004938 0.005653 0.006558
2025-04-13 0.002799 0.003186 0.003629 0.004177 0.004846 0.005644 0.006680
2025-04-20 0.002696 0.003105 0.003581 0.004183 0.004931 0.005844 0.007061
2025-04-27 0.002638 0.003073 0.003587 0.004248 0.005088 0.006135 0.007570
2025-05-04 0.002532 0.002977 0.003509 0.004204 0.005100 0.006239 0.007834
2025-05-11 0.002445 0.002899 0.003449 0.004176 0.005129 0.006363 0.008128
2025-05-18 0.002365 0.002825 0.003389 0.004145 0.005150 0.006473 0.008404
2025-05-25 0.002335 0.002814 0.003407 0.004213 0.005303 0.006766 0.008950
2025-06-01 0.002276 0.002762 0.003371 0.004207 0.005355 0.006920 0.009304
2025-06-08 0.002210 0.002699 0.003319 0.004179 0.005375 0.007032 0.009605
2025-06-15 0.002132 0.002620 0.003242 0.004114 0.005341 0.007065 0.009790
2025-06-22 0.002064 0.002550 0.003175 0.004059 0.005318 0.007111 0.009992
2025-06-29 0.002021 0.002512 0.003149 0.004061 0.005374 0.007272 0.010384
2025-07-06 0.001929 0.002407 0.003029 0.003925 0.005225 0.007123 0.010268
2025-07-13 0.001894 0.002376 0.003009 0.003930 0.005282 0.007283 0.010664
2025-07-20 0.001881 0.002374 0.003029 0.003990 0.005422 0.007577 0.011296
2025-07-27 0.001833 0.002324 0.002979 0.003949 0.005407 0.007628 0.011522
2025-08-03 0.001792 0.002283 0.002941 0.003923 0.005415 0.007715 0.011813
2025-08-10 0.001753 0.002241 0.002902 0.003895 0.005416 0.007790 0.012085
2025-08-17 0.001745 0.002244 0.002924 0.003957 0.005561 0.008103 0.012804